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Bank by bank, here’s where the hiring and firing will happen now

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Bank by bank, this is what’s happening this summer – and what will ensue as summer draws to an end.

ABN AMRO

From hiring to firing: This time last year, ABN Amro was busy letting everyone know that it was building out its corporate and investment bank. 12 months on, it seems to have had a change of heart: the Dutch bank said today that it wants to cut 250 jobs from its corporate and investment bank and to shrink back to its domestic market as it seeks to increase its return on equity. Let this be a warning to anyone would join a European bank in the midst of an expansionary outburst.

Barclays

Big hiring, small firing: Barclays was the big hirer of 2017 and Barclays is also turning out to be the big hirer of 2018. In the 18 months to June 2018, the UK bank says it recruited over 30 managing directors to its global markets division, including – most recently – Dean Galligan – an MD from Goldman Sachs.  Barclays has been busy building its equities sales and trading division under new global head Stephen Dainton, but there’s a push into corporate finance too with an “aggressive” push to hire bankers to cover continental Europe.  Oh, and there’s also been some firing of late – both in credit and in equities.

What next? Barclays is reallocating capital to high yielding parts of its investment bank and while there’s not much talk of overt hiring, more of the same seems likely. During the bank’s second quarter results call, CEO Jes Staley said Barclays is now, “In a position to contemplate new investments and opportunities to grow the top line and bottom line.”

Bank of America

A seeming need to hire some more M&A bankers: Bank of America didn’t exactly say so, but a cursory look at its second quarter results suggests it could probably do with hiring some new M&A bankers to cover the American market. Bloomberg said in June that BofA had lost 14 managing directors from its advisory division, of whom 10 were in the U.S. For some reason, BofA’s M&A revenues were down 36% year-on-year in the first half, while rivals like J.P. Morgan and Morgan Stanley achieved 20% increases.

Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan didn’t say anything specific about M&A hiring in the bank’s second quarter investor call. Instead, Moynihan said: “We know we can do a better job there and the team is working on it.”

BNP Paribas

Supposed to be hiring, could benefit from firing: BNP is going for growth in its corporate and investment bank. As we noted last week, the French bank aspires to a 4.5% compound average rate of revenue growth there each year thanks to things like cross-selling, deeper penetration of global markets products with corporate clients and deeper client relationships in general. Instead, revenues are shrinking.

Hiring is happening at BNP. The French bank just recruited James Moi, a structured credit trader from Credit Suisse, for example. It’s also been hiring for its equity derivatives sales team.  However, BNP also aims to make €1.1bn of cost savings across the bank in 2018. With the Corporate and Investment bank the main target until now (42% of existing cuts have hit the CIB), with the global markets division under-performing and with talk of pursuing “efficiencies”, some redundancies seem inevitable.

Citi

Adding ‘talent’, eliminating inefficiency: As per its most recent investor day, Citi is supposed to be growing revenues in its institutional clients group (investment bank) by investing in “talent” to work on deals in the technology, financial institutions and energy sectors. In July, it hired two UBS M&A bankers for France, based out of Paris.  

The investor day presentation also spoke of “leveraging the global network” in fixed income and “capitalizing on [existing] investments in talent and technology” in the equities sales and trading division. In equities, things appear to be going to plan: Citi’s equities sales and trading revenues were up 29% in the first half of this year – second only to Barclays’ increase of 30%.  Things didn’t work out so well in fixed income, though. Here, Citi’s revenues fell 7% in the first half, putting the bank on a par with BofA. Only Deutsche was worse (fixed income revenues down 19%).

Like most banks, Citi is cutting costs. During the investor call accompanying the second quarter results, CEO Mike Corbat noted Citi’s intentions of making $2.5bn of efficiency savings across the bank by 2020. $1.5bn of these are due to come from the consumer bank, by the Institutional Clients Group is unlikely to prove immune to what Corbat later said includes ‘optimization, streamlining and business process reengineering.’

Credit Suisse

Equities gaps, mysterious disappearance of hundreds of markets staff:  Credit Suisse is cutting costs in its global markets division. The Swiss bank has long aspired to reduce costs there to below CHF4.8bn annually. They were CHF2.5bn in the first half of 2018, down only 1% from last year, suggesting there is still some way to go.

As it cuts costs, there are indications that Credit Suisse is hacking away at staff. – Or is it? As we observed previously, the bank’s second quarter results presentation said very clearly that headcount in global markets fell by 350 people in the three months to June, even though insiders are insistent that only “tens” of people were let go.

Either way, there doesn’t seem much hiring happening: net headcount fell in every division of CS in the three months to June, with the exception of the corporate centre where 10 people were added.

Hiring seems to have tapered off in Credit Suisse’s equities division, where newish head of global equities Mike Stewart presided over a 1% fall in revenues during the first half, despite heavy recruitment last year and a push to achieve a top five position globally.  This doesn’t mean equities hiring is entirely done though: Stewart will need to replenish his team after various exits to Barclays, where ex-Credit Suisse man Stephen Dainton is busy hiring his ex-colleagues, including – most recently Mathew Cousens and Kevin O’Connor. Chris Marsh, Credit Suisse’s head of advanced execution services for Europe, also recently left for UBS.

Credit Suisse therefore has several big gaps to fill in its equities electronic equities team. Meanwhile, CEO Tidjane Thiam is all for the bank’s International Trading Solutions division, where global markets staff provide products to private wealth clients. The people here are very ‘happy and excited,’ said Thiam. Whether the bank is adding to their numbers is another question.

Deutsche Bank

Thousands of job cuts to come, especially in the back office:  Deutsche Bank is, theoretically, done with the job cuts in the front office of its corporate and investment bank (CIB). It is not done with cuts elsewhere.

CEO Christian Sewing said in May that he planned to finish cutting front office jobs at the German bank by the end of July 2018. At the end of June 2018, Deutsche revealed that it had cut 1,700 people from the bank as whole in the previous three months, including 983 from the CIB. July’s cuts not withstanding, it therefore looks like Deutsche has rather a lot more redundancies to go before hitting Sewing’s target of 7,000+ job cuts in total. Middle and back office staff will be next.

Meanwhile, there’s very little evidence of hiring at DB’s investment bank this year – except when it comes to the inflated graduate class. 

Goldman Sachs

Still hiring executive directors, electronic traders and engineers: Despite the imminent arrival of a new chief executive, Goldman Sachs’ strategic playbook remains enshrined in the presentation given by then COO- Harvey Schwartz in September last year. – The firm is pursuing an extra $1bn a year of fixed income revenues, $500m each in equities and investment banking (M&A, ECM, DCM), and is hiring in more staff than before from outside.

External hiring remains a focus at Goldman in 2018, with the firm making plenty of new recruits at executive director and vice president level, plus the addition of various new managing directors in areas that have seen departures – like the European macro desk. During the bank’s second quarter investor call, CFO Marty Chavez said Goldman is still ‘pursuing opportunities’ to gain markets share in low touch execution (ie. electronic trading).

New CEO David Solomon may be expected to make some small changes to Goldman’s emphasis in light of his background in the investment banking division. However, early indications of Solomon’s intentions suggest he’s going to keep pushing into systematic trading and flow products, while also expanding Goldman’s coverage of mid-market investment banking clients globally.

J.P Morgan

Ever such quiet hiring: J.P. Morgan seems to be hiring for its corporate and investment bank, but it’s keeping pretty quiet about it. The U.S. bank added 109 CIB staff globally in the second quarter. The U.S. bank is busy hiring in China, where it wants to expand its investment banking team by 40% to 50%.  Although J.P. Morgan’s cash equities hiring is mostly past, the bank is also open to building its European business with selective hires. It added two former Citigroup traders – Mark Coetzee and Gil Peleg in June.

Morgan Stanley

Stealth mode: If Morgan Stanley’s hiring, it’s not saying much about it. After delivering persistently strong sets of results, the most that is typically uttered by CEO James Gorman is that Morgan Stanley is the right size for the market and that if, “the market is doing well, we’re doing well in that market.” Even so, Morgan Stanley has been busy restocking its U.S. infrastructure team and very quietly hired a Credit Suisse crypto enthusiast to be head of digital asset markets in Zurich this month.

SocGen

Digesting Commerzbank: SocGen is in the grips of what it describes as a “group refocusing” involving some “strict cost control” in its investment bank. There are distinct signs of pain: second quarter revenues in the French bank’s equities division were poor and fell two percent even as European rivals like Barclays saw big increases. SocGen said equity derivatives were particularly weak during the quarter, in contrast to Credit Suisse which highlighted equity derivatives as a source of strength.

Even so, changes to SocGen’s investment bank in the next six months are likely to be limited to the assimilation of Commerzbank’s equity markets and commodities business. In SocGen’s second quarter results presentation, the bank said it plans to use the acquisition to become a leading player in Germany and to become a global player in flow products trading.

UBS

UBS isn’t everyone’s cup of tea. We know this because Andrea Orcel, head of the investment bank, said so himself to Financial News in July.  “I accept that UBS investment bank and its culture is not for everybody. But if you choose to work here, the expectation is that you are fully committed to the vision, the strategy and the culture,” declared Orcel.

It might be a good thing that not everyone likes working at UBS, because the Swiss bank has been laying a few people off. There were cuts to the rates sales desk last month, including David Steckl, the former institutional head of U.S. rates sales who only joined from Deutsche Bank in mid-2017.

UBS is also hiring though. The Swiss bank is having a big push into the Americas, where it has a “very aggressive plan” for expansion and wants to hire lots of “old fashioned bankers'” with relationships. This might take a while though: Orcel said previously that the bank likes to hire slowly by word of mouth and to give people time to settle in.

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It looks like most banks had a terrible July

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Traders and investment bankers that celebrated impressive second quarters at most banks may want to put the cork back in the bottle. July was a very slow month.

Within investment banking, equity and debt capital markets revenue fell off a cliff in July, with projected fees dropping 42% and 28% month-over-month, respectively, according to Buckingham Research. And the sequential drop isn’t due to an unusually stellar June. Year-over-year, ECM and DCM revenues were down 19% and 40%, respectively.

In need of a strong second half to justify cuts elsewhere, investment bankers at Deutsche Bank had a particularly rough July, with global equity fees down a projected 60% compared to the month previous and 39% year-over-year. Same tune, different song in DCM, where projected revenues were down 41% compared to June (-18% Y/Y). Not the start Deutsche Bank was looking for to kick off the second half.

Activity was a bit stronger across the board in M&A, though projected fees for announced and completed deals were still down both sequentially and year-over-year. With most banks faring rather well in M&A during the first half, all eyes are on the one that floundered: Bank of America. The firm saw M&A revenues drop 36% during the first half of the year, and it looks like things haven’t improved much to start the second half. Bank of America has booked just $60 million in M&A fees during the start of the third quarter, on pace to fall well short of the $264 million it recorded in Q2 and the $283 million last year, according to Buckingham and Thomson Reuters.

Like investment bankers, traders were also stuck sitting on their hands more than they’d like during July. U.S. equities volume was down 16% year-over-year and 18% sequentially. Equity trading volumes in Europe and Asia were a bit stronger but still down double-digits compared to a year ago. FICC trading slowed as well, particularly in interest rate derivatives (35% M/M and 6% Y/Y).

It’s just one month – typically a slow one – but revenue totals are down across the board compared to July 2017. All the compliments over second quarter performances have likely dried up by now.


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Morning Coffee: The big bad dark cloud hanging over Barclays. Terrible fate of London bankers who survive Brexit

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As we noted in yesterday’s big roundup of banks’ hiring and firing intentions for 2018, Barclays looks like the place to get a new job now. The British bank has added 30 managing directors to its markets division since the start of 2017 and is focused on reallocating capital to its investment bank in an effort to increase returns. Between the second quarter of 2017 and the second quarter of 2018, equity allocated to Barclays International rose 17%. Assets in the trading portfolio of Barclays International rose 40% over the same period (although risk weighted assets were up a mere 3%).  In equities, if not fixed income trading, the bank had an excellent second quarter.

But what if this all proves transitory? Waiting in Barclays’ wings is, needless to say, Edward Bramson, the activist investor who owns a 5.4% interest in the bank and is one of its biggest shareholders. Bramson has been lurking since March 2018, but seems determined to make his presence more felt. The latest manifestation of this is Bramson’s reported determination to have a say in who replaces Barclays’ chairman John MacFarlane. MacFarlane dismissed talk that he was leaving in May 2018, saying that he would remain in his post for at least another year. Bramson seems to want him to go sooner.

This matters. MacFarlane presided over Staley’s appointment as CEO and has repeatedly praised him for doing a good job as Staley rebuilds Barclays’ investment bank. Bramson’s choice of chairman would unquestionably be less easy for Staley to live with: there have been claims that Bramson wants to break up and sell Barclays’ markets arm, and the Financial Times says he wants to return much of the £26bn of capital in the investment bank to shareholders and to shrink the unit. If Bramson gets his chairman, then, the recent revival of Barclays’ investment bank will be in jeopardy. It’s probably something to bear in mind if you’re joining as a managing director with a guaranteed one year pay deal.

Separately, if you’re a London banker and you maintain your job in the City following Brexit, you may suffer the sort of fate that makes dinner parties vibrate with disquiet: house prices could fall considerably. Bloomberg reports that London prices are already suffering the side effects of EU nationals leaving the City. Things are only likely to get worse after Brexit happens for real.

Meanwhile:

Nomura has written to its clients asking them to prepare for a chaotic no deal Brexit. (CityAm) 

Salespeople are leaving for bitcoin. Amy Yu, who previously worked in sales for synthetic products at JPMorgan, joined BitMEX to head up institutional sales. Lauren Abendschein, formerly a director at Credit Suisse, has joined Coinbase as a manager of institutional sales. (Business Insider) 

Amir Khandani, a systematic trader at Morgan Stanley, left for Millennium Management. (Financial News) 

Jeffrey Schackner, former head of consumer investment banking at Citi, joined Ardea partners – a boutique set up by Goldman alumni. (Financial News) 

ABN AMRO is cutting 250 jobs and paring back its business in trade and commodity finance and other business in which earnings are volatile. (Bloomberg) 

‘Overfitting is the curse of anyone who tries to use the past to predict the future. Forecasting is a delicate balance between two extremes: at one end we risk creating a model which is too simplistic to be of practical use, whilst at the other the model is too complex and closely fitted to the past.’ (RiskyFinance) 

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Meet the trading star who just made associate at Goldman Sachs, aged 20

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If you’re good at Goldman Sachs, you will get promoted fast and you will get promoted early. – The archetype is Kunal Shah, the Goldman Sachs macro trader who joined the firm aged 21 and became partner aged 27. Now it looks like another young macro trader is following in Shah’s footsteps.

Wajih Ahmed, a trader on Goldman’s London inflation desk has just been made associate in this year’s junior promotion round. Ahmed, who joined Goldman Sachs two years ago is just twenty years old.

Making associate after two years on Goldman’s securities programme is unusual – although the firm usually promotes after two years in the investment banking division, promotions in the securities business are made on merit. In securities, advancement after three years is more common. Ahmed is therefore special, but this has long been the case.

Ahmed was notable for his exceptionalism long before Goldman Sachs.  Aged 10, he scored 99% in his maths A level. Aged 11, he scored 97% in further maths A level. Aged 13, he got an A in his chemistry A level. Aged 14, he got an A* at physics A level. He began studying economics at Southampton University aged 14, and aged only 17 was the university’s youngest ever graduate, with a first class degree and an 86% overall pass rate. He then completed a masters in finance at the London School of Economics, all before his 18th birthday.

Ahmed’s first encounter with Goldman was in the summer of 2015 when (aged 17), he was an intern in the London securities division. In those three months he managed to achieve a mythical status among other interns and analysts after completing a project that was supposed to have taken an entire week in only two hours.

Ahmed is still only an associate at Goldman. If he wants to emulate Shah, he’ll need to become a vice president, executive director, managing director and then partner. None of this is easy. But if the past is any indication of the future, Ahmed is definitely someone to watch – particularly around the time of the 2024 partner promotion round.

Have a confidential story, tip, or comment you’d like to share? Contact: sbutcher@efinancialcareers.com
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Barclays said to make three major equities trading hires in the U.S.

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The hiring is still coming thick and fast at Barclays. Fresh from recruiting a team of five equity research analysts from SocGen in London, the British bank is understood to have hired three equities traders in the U.S. – two of whom are thought to be joining at managing director level.

Barclays hasn’t confirmed the moves, which are said to include Mike Lewis from Morgan Stanley, and Andrew Rouff and Justin Kantrowitz from Credit Suisse. All three are thought to be joining in New York.

Neither Lewis nor Morgan Stanley responded to a query on Lewis’s plans, but he is no longer present on the bank’s switchboard. Similarly, Rouff and Kantrowitz didn’t respond to LinkedIn messages, but have left Credit Suisse.

Headhunters and colleagues of three men said they’re off to Barclays.

The moves look like a coup for Barclays as it builds out its equities business under global head Stephen Dainton, who joined after leaving Credit Suisse in July last year. Lewis began his equities career at Lehman Brothers in 1998 and had worked at Morgan Stanley for 12 and a half years; colleagues say he had a very high profile on the desk. Rouff joined Credit Suisse twenty years ago. Kantrowitz joined Credit Suisse from Bluecrest in 2015. He previously spent five years at Jefferies.

As we noted last week, Barclays’ equities sales and trading business is having an exceptionally good 2018 after stocking up on staff, predominantly from Credit Suisse. The British bank has hired 30 managing directors across its markets division since the start of 2017, but is under pressure from activist investor Edward Bramson, who wants to withdraw capital from the investment bank and shrink or spin-off the trading unit. 

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The investment banks with the best vacation policies

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For most prospective investment bankers, paid time off (PTO) isn’t likely a key factor in deciding between firms. But once the job starts and the long hours begin adding up, a bank’s vacation policy can take on a new level of importance. So which investment bank is most generous with its employees over PTO? That would be Chicago-based William Blair, according to a new study from Vault.

A mid-market investment bank with around 1,500 employees globally, William Blair is rather unique because it is independent and employee-owned, providing plenty of motivation for a good vacation policy. The firm has a rating of 9.5 out of 10 for its policy, a full point better than second-ranked Bank of America.

“Vacation policy is the best on the street,” said one junior M&A banker. The rationale isn’t because William Blair gives employees months off at a time or anything like that. Rather, the bank has a mandatory three-week vacation policy for new hires. And the firm apparently takes the word mandatory literally. One reviewer said that senior managers can see their compensation reduced if their direct reports don’t take the full three weeks.

Founded in the Midwest, most employees say they enjoy the “family” culture, though many working in the investment banking division acknowledge that the hours are still plenty long. William Blair also scored well in several other quality of life categories, including culture and work-life balance. Plus, they offer free snacks, apparently.

Some of the common critical comments posted on Vault and Glassdoor include a lack of upward mobility, likely due to the employee-owned partnership structure that entices management to stick around. Several reviewers on Glassdoor referred to the firm as an “old boys club,” and knocked the bank for its lack of diversity.

The rest of the banks that fill out the top 10 are all boutiques, with the exception of Bank of America. BAML offers 16 paid weeks of maternity and paternity leave – plus an additional 10 unpaid weeks if needed. Employees can also purchase additional time off beyond their normal days of allotted vacation. William Blair didn’t immediately get back to us with more specifics of their vacation policy. We will update if they do. The full top-10 is below.


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How soon really before you become an associate at a U.S. bank? Well…

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Theoretically, it’s become much quicker to get off the bottom rung in an investment bank. Ever since UBS and Citi first began promoting their analysts to associate after two years instead of three, most other banks have begun doing the same. These days, Goldman Sachs, Deutsche Bank, UBS, Credit Suisse and – as of January 2018 – Bank of America, all claim to expedite their analyst promotions. But if you think early promotion is a given, you might be disappointed.

U.S. investment banks have just converted analysts to associates for 2018. Most people were promoted after two years. Some were not.

Goldman Sachs looks like one of the best bets for early promotion. The U.S. bank consistently promotes analysts to associate after just two years in its investment banking division (IBD), and sometimes promotes after two years in securities sales and trading too.

This year’s new associates at Goldman include the likes of Timo Seidl in structured finance in London, Suraj Dash in real estate financing in New York, and Jonatan Andersson on the industrials M&A team, also in London – all of whom joined in the 2016 analyst class. As we noted earlier, the firm has also expedited Wajih Ahmed on its London inflation trading desk. He’s now an associate too, despite joining two years ago and only being twenty years old. Even at Goldman, though, we found people who were only just promoted to associate after over three years as an analyst in the firm’s London investment banking division.

At some banks, the speed of promotion this year is more patchy. At Citi, for example, there’s an equity capital markets associate who only just promoted from being an analyst after three and a half years.

Morgan Stanley is understood to have begun promoting early for the first time. Members of Morgan Stanley’s 2016 analyst class say the base case is now to promote analysts after two years (examples of new associates include Sotiris Mavrikoglou and Edward Smith in IBD in London). There’s even an example of someone who made associate in only 1.5 years in the New York fixed income strats team (Zihan Zhou). However, around six people in the MS 2016 London analyst class are understood to have been held back, and will have to wait another year to make associate.

The upshot then is that early associate promotion is not a given.

Andrew Pringle, a corporate finance recruiter and director at Hudson Beck recruiting in London, says early promotions only go to the “super stars”. When a bank promotes you to associate, Pringle points out that it has to pay you an associate salary. In London, this means a hike from £60k ($77k) to £80k ($103k).  Most banks are in no rush to spend extra money without good reason.

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Morning Coffee: Ex-Goldman Sachs MD alleges bizarre goings-on and sues for $50m. Ongoing fruit trauma at Deutsche Bank

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It’s a story that seems to have everything: a Mediterranean superyacht, a dubious businessman with a Germanic accent, Goldman Sachs and $1bn. If you were writing a script for a movie, you couldn’t ask for more.

The brief plot summary runs as follows: Goldman Sachs allegedly wanted to ingratiate itself with the businessman with $1bn to invest, so two of its senior bankers (Michael Daffey and John Storey) went to go and meet him on his yacht. Despite his dubious history, they allegedly ushered him past the firm’s client vetting process and subsequently agreed to issue $700 million in bonds on his behalf, thereby earning millions in fees. People at Goldman were briefly “ecstatic.” But then a client introduced by the businessman didn’t pay a bill, leaving Goldman temporarily on the hook for $85m. At this point, the firm allegedly looked about for someone to blame, alighted upon a senior banker only tangentially related to the entire affair, and suspended him.

So says Christopher Rollins, a former managing director who spent 16 years at Goldman Sachs, latterly as co-head of European execution services in London, before being fired for his apparent part in the matter in February 2017. Rollins, who is now the chief executive of BTIG, wants to be compensated: he’s looking for $50m.

Goldman Sachs, needless to say, doesn’t agree with Rollins’ version of events. It maintains that Rollins, “executed certain trades involving a previously restricted party without obtaining appropriate authorization,” and says his employment was terminated accordingly. Rollins says the firm “whitewashed” its records to make it look like he was the sole source of business with the client relating to the businessman, that he always complied with protocols, faithfully reported trades to his superiors and raised concerns about, “massive compliance failures.” He claims that Goldman tried to tie him up in a, “Kafkaesque disciplinary process,” where by he was pressured to confess to violating compliance restrictions without those restrictions being identified. Oh, and he had millions in deferred equity bonuses confiscated.

Rollins’ ire isn’t restricted to Goldman itself. He’s also going after Jim Esposito, the new co-head of Goldman’s securities business. Esposito chaired Rollins’ disciplinary hearing and Rollins is now suing him personally.

Hell hath no fury like an ex-Goldman MD who feels himself wronged. Rollins filed his lawsuit in Manhattan on Thursday.

Separately, the disappearing fruit bowls are still a thing at Deutsche Bank.  Bloomberg prods the pimple of Deutsche discontentment with another story about the effects of cost-cutting at the German bank. The fruit has gone. So has first class travel. So has travel to conferences. The bank is also said to be looking at how much it spends on compliance staff. Although the cuts are being orchestrated by new CEO Christian Sewing, the fruit hatchet man is actually Deutsche’s new COO ,Frank Kuhnke. Frank has become known as “Frank the Tank.” An alternative might be, “Frank the banana slayer.”

Meanwhile:

The Financial Conduct Authority will be fine with back-to-back and remote booking after the UK leaves the EU. “We are aware that some authorities elsewhere in Europe have set out specific requirements as regards business models. We are open to a broad range of legal entity structures or booking models.” (Financial Times)   

The Financial Conduct Authority has hired at least 30 people since February and is now advertising four senior Brexit-related roles. (Financial News) 

Barclays has now hired more than 50 equity traders and analysts since last year. (Financial News) 

Lots of students think KPMG internships are the best. (CNBC)

People with a high IQ seem to age more slowly. (BPS) 

The joys of commuting. (BBC Capital) 

This year’s CFA exam results will look a bit different. (300 Hours) 

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Deutsche Bank is still cutting front office bankers (as well as fruit)

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It’s not over at Deutsche Bank. Not only is the in-office fruit not coming back, but the front office layoffs are still happening – albeit with less vigour than before. In latest round of exits, Deutsche insiders say a managing director in London debt capital markets has left the bank.

The MD in question is Virilo Moro, ex-head of Deutsche Bank’s financing and solutions (FSG) group for Spain and Portugal. Moro joined Deutsche Bank from Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein in 2002. Headhunters suggest his long service at DB made him a prime candidate for the chop as the German bank seeks to cut costs. Additional junior layoffs are also understood to be on the cards.

Deutsche Bank didn’t respond to a request to comment on Moro’s exit. Moro himself didn’t immediately respond to a comment on LinkedIn.

Deutsche Bank is in the process of cutting 7,000 jobs from across its investment bank. In the three months to June 2018, the bank removed 1,700 people, including 983 from the corporate and investment bank.  In May, CEO Christian Sewing promised to complete front office redundancies at DB by the end of July. That they’re still going on suggests either that there were some stragglers, or that Sewing has decided more cuts need to be made after Deutsche’s miserable second quarter.

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Now Credit Suisse’s head of small cap trading has left for Macquarie

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If it’s not Barclays, it’s Macquarie. Credit Suisse equities traders have a distinct tendency to leave and head for one of the two banks.

The latest departure is understood to be Jason Maniloff, the former head of small cap equity trading at the Swiss bank in London. Maniloff is thought to be going to join Daniel Kaye at Macquarie. He was a director at Credit Suisse.

Credit Suisse confirmed Maniloff’s exit, although Maquarie declined to comment and Maniloff didn’t respond to an enquiry regarding his destination.

Ex-Credit Suisse trader Kaye has been building out Macquarie’s London equities business since late 2017. Maniloff wouldn’t be his first hire from Credit Suisse. Other ex-CS recruits at Macquarie include Jan Asboth (who left after six months for Barclays) and Kenneth Kane, Credit Suisse’s former managing director of program trading. Kaye has also hired from Deutsche Bank and BTIG. 

Credit Suisse’s equities sales and trading business didn’t have a great start to 2018: revenues declined 1% year-on-year in Swiss franc terms, while revenues at banks with greater exposure to the U.S. market (eg. Barclays, Bank of America and Citi) were up around 30% over the same period.

Macquarie’s equities sales and trading business is tiny. The Australian bank doesn’t release quarterly results, but for the year to March 2018 its equities revenues were just AU$359m (US$263m). By comparison, Credit Suisse’s equities business generated CHF920m ($925m) in the year ending December 2017. Macquarie is said to be building out its equities sales and trading business in London and paying handsomely to attract new staff.

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The Confucius of LinkedIn exits Cantor Fitzgerald

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A managing director in charge of debt and equity sales has left Cantor Fitzgerald to join boutique broker-dealer Odeon Capital Group in New York. Herb Lust, a veteran MD who has managed sales, trading and research teams on both the buy-side and sell-side, also has a part-time gig of sorts: disseminating poet-like words of wisdom to his massive following on LinkedIn.

Lust has gained nearly 20k followers on the social network without being a CEO or face of a company. His popularity likely stems in part from his posts, which are equal parts Shakespeare and Milton Friedman. Some recent posts include:

“It is a mistake to equate who you are with your strongest emotion. You are what deliberates between your emotions. Feelings are merely signals. It is up to you to pick which one has most value. Choose wisely!”

“Never conflate memorization with sound judgement. Some of the worst investors know every single number. Simply knowing the facts does not imply, at all, that your conclusion is correct. There are a lot of idiot savants out there. Pattern recognition is more important than data collection. As Montaigne says, ‘Experience is a second intelligence.’”

“Tenacity distinguishes the successful from the ordinary. Tenacity also distinguishes the blithering idiot from the ordinary. Perspicacity without perseverance is empty. Perseverance without perspicacity is blind. You can recognize defeat without being a defeatist. Adaptive people change. Neurotics repeat. The distinction between tenacity and self-delusion is common sense.”

“Good risk management means never having to say you’re sorry.”

Lust’s passion for prose may be due to his rather atypical educational background for a career on Wall Street. While he has his MBA in economics and finance from NYU, he was a philosophy and art history major during his undergraduate years. Lust left Cantor Fitzgerald for Odeon in July. He earlier declined comment on his status at Cantor.


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Morning Coffee: Is the Turkish crisis good or bad for bonuses? College kid gets into BlackRock by knocking on the right door

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Turkeys, as they say, don’t vote for Christmas. But the country of Turkey might spoil a few people’s Christmases if its ongoing debt and currency crises manage to put a big hole in bank profits for 2018. The lists of banks most at risk have began to be compiled by the sell side, and once more it appears to be the European players rather than the Americans with most to fear. Unicredit and BNP Paribas both have material Turkish subsidiaries, and the harsh truth is that even though this sort of business has very little to do with the trading franchise, if a bank is losing money or seeing its capital impaired, the bonus pool is the first source of funds that both management and regulators will look to. So there is potentially some reason to fear at the houses with the biggest direct exposure.

The rule of emerging market crises, however, is that the second and third round effects are nearly always bigger than the immediate ones. After all, nobody has mistaken Turkey for a low-risk proposition for quite some time – people have been predicting some sort of blow up for more than seven years. Big banks with big positions or subsidiaries there are likely to have made detailed plans to manage their risk. Often the most vulnerable players are those with related or semi related exposures which they believed to be safe, or even to be a hedge against risks elsewhere.

If there is contagion from Turkey into a full-blown emerging markets liquidity crisis, then, there is no one on the street who is 100% safe from having a bad enough quarter in their EM business to prompt one of those awful “town hall meetings” where the heads of debt and equities start telling everyone that although most of the business has performed well relative to budget, “expectations need to be revised downward” because of “the situation that everyone can read about in the Financial Times”. You’d normally think that the banks most vulnerable to this sort of disaster would be those with the biggest EM franchises, but in fact bitter experience has taught us that the size of the profits an emerging markets debt business makes in good times are a surprisingly poor guide to the size of the losses it’s capable of making when the bottom falls out.

On the other hand, we have to consider the possibility: what if a medium-sized emerging markets crisis was…good? There is always a sweet spot in the markets when newsflow is volatile enough to drive trading volumes and client business, but not quite extreme enough to leave the trading desk with losses. After a patchy Q2 for some houses and a more than usually pronounced summer lull, the return to business after Labor Day could be the make or break period in terms of the difference between a pretty good year and an exceptional one. So from the point of view of financial sector employees, we would like Mr Erdogan to do enough to keep things exciting, but not so much as to blow the thing up. Luckily, that seems to be exactly what many expert fund managers seem to expect to happen. Turkey might make it a happy Christmas after all.

Anyway, let’s also start the week with a feel good story. Reggie Nelson was a teenager from East London studying at a further education college when he came up with an idea to set himself apart from the crowd and improve his career prospects. He went to Kensington and started knocking on the doors of the multi-million-pound houses there, asking the residents “what skills and qualities they had, that allowed them to live in the wealthiest area in the UK?”

He was lucky that one of the first doors he knocked on was the house of Quintin Price, who was able to live on that street because he was the head of alpha strategies at BlackRock, responsible for managing just under a trillion dollars worth of funds. (Quintin has since retired, so maybe don’t knock on his door any more). The conversation they had led to a mentoring relationship, and to Reggie getting an internship at BlackRock. He went on to university and to a career in the financial services industry (according to LinkedIn, he’s currently at LGIM). Obviously, this isn’t a full solution to the problem of diversity in the City, but at least it shows that initiative and willingness to work can still help you break in, as long as you’ve got a good doorstep pitch and a fair slug of luck.

Meanwhile

Legal firm White & Case has decided it would be good if partners and associates could meet every now and then for informal coffees, to allow junior colleagues to make contacts and get a broader overview of the firm than they might get from the one or two principals to whom they are assigned. Since they are lawyers, they have decided the best way to achieve this is to have a formal process to oversee the informal coffee dates. Human resources will assign the dates to one another, wild the senior partners’ PAs will be responsible for scheduling them, monitoring them, and providing a short report to the informal coffee dates oversight committee. This is a law firm that is not scared of the stereotypes, clearly. (RollOnFriday)

Hedge funds come, hedge funds go. Certain Capital, a long-distance equities fund which launched last year with blue-chip investors including David Einhorn, has now closed in what the Wall Street Journal analyses as another example of the tough conditions for raising enough funds to reach critical mass. But Viewforth Partners is launching with its own blue chip investor, Michael Spence, aiming to take advantage of the reduced information environment in European mid cap stocks where research coverage has been hit by MiFID. (WSJ, Financial Times)

Nestor Paz-Galindo will be the new head of M & A for UBS in Europe. He comes from a private equity / financial sponsors background and joined from JP Morgan in 2016. (Financial News)

J.P. Morgan is the latest bank to have revised its training programme for IT staff to be a little bit more like a tech firm and attract the best graduates and programmers. From now on, JPM tech guys will be allowed to call themselves “engineers” and will benefit from a relaxed dress code and offices with foosball tables. More substantially, they will be assigned to real tasks at an earlier date under the oversight of named managers. (Reuters)

Ever since David Solomon took over, people have been noticing a potential cultural change at Goldman Sachs with more recruitment from outside at the top levels. This continues with the hiring of Kurt Simon, brought in from JP Morgan to lead tech advisory, at the coveted partner level. How many of these kinds of hires can be made before it starts having an effect on Goldman employees’ perception of the way the firm works? (WSJ)

The head of compliance for Americas at BNP Paribas want all of his staff to be at least basically competent in data analysis – “data comfortable” rather than “rocket scientists”. (Reuters)

And Charles Brennan at Credit Suisse has kicked off a good old-fashioned analyst versus company battle over the subject of accounting treatments for customer receivables at Atos SE. (Bloomberg)

Image credit:  CasPhotography, Getty

How machines producing ‘cognitive content’ will displace banks’ research jobs

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When it comes to investing, the only content that matters is that which is relevant, timely and personalised. In a word, it needs to be actionable.

A shift in recent years has seen a rise in demand from both the buy and sell sides for actionable content, but there is a growing disconnect that’s giving the industry a serious headache.

The pain stems from the fact that there is too much unrefined financial content (data and news) and very little of it matches with the agendas and mandates of investors and sales people throughout financial services, most pressingly at hedge funds and asset managers.

Revenues down, homogenisation up

The failure to give sales teams content of sufficient quality is a serious problem for institutions. Firstly, with revenues at top tier investment houses lower than at any point in the last five years and continuing to fall, sales resources are being squeezed. MiFID II forced banks and brokers to rethink revenue models, ending the practice of bundling together trading and research. As a result, the cost of investing continues to fall and this is squeezing bank revenues and budgets for middle and back office functions, such as research and marketing.

This is leading to the homogenisation of content. It’s cheaper to create but it is often offering clients and prospects information that is irrelevant, out of date and impersonal. Content like this is damaging client/advisor relationships, as clients are tired of being sent recommendations that don’t matter to them. This is one reason why more investors are now directing themselves.

Headcount up, content quality down

In contrast to south-bound revenues, the number of sales people needing quality content is on the rise as hedge funds and asset managers increase headcount. With more sales people needing to keep more clients happy, the chances of personalised content being delivered to each of them – the type that leads them to action – is dropping through the floor. Poor content means little client engagement and action. And bank margins and revenues get even thinner.

As these trends diverge further, sales teams struggle on, trying to decipher and prepare data, information and news in an efficient manner for clients. Ironically, with more trading being executed electronically or by operations, front office sales teams should have more time to find actionable insights. But, without the resources and tools, they struggle. They need help.

Something to ease the pain

One way institutions can sooth the headache is with “cognitive content”, or “machine-intelligent content”, which aims to order language in a way that inspires readers into action. In financial services, relevant, timely and personalised, high-quality cognitive content – the sort that harnesses learnings from machine learning – nudges investors to engage and execute.

By embracing machine learning and AI, sales teams can scale up content creating capabilities, giving themselves a higher chance of being able to service an ever growing number of clients. Sales people can’t do it on their own. They don’t have the resources or the man power. But by embracing future tech, they may be able to win back the trust of their clients by giving them actionable insights. Cognitive content should be able to help ease the content headache.

The author is a former managing director at Deutsche Bank and Bank of America Merrill Lynch and Co-CEO of Arkera, a London-based financial technology company using its extensive financial expertise & AI to solve institutional challenges.

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Bank of America poaches cyber security expert from UK regulator

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Bank of America Merrill Lynch has hired a veteran cyber security expert from the UK’s financial regulator to oversee its cyber security public policy.

Simon Onyons, the principal cyber specialist with the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) for the last five and a half years, joined BAML as a senior vice president in its London office earlier this month.

Onyons’ arrival comes at a time when banks are sharpening their focus on managing cyber security risks, amid increasing attention from regulators and policymakers. Over the last few years, financial institutions have become prime targets for cyber criminals looking to steal money or data, or compromise critical infrastructure. The cyber risks that they face include attacks on operating systems, locking users out of their computers and data, theft or corruption of data and systems, and release of confidential data.

Meanwhile, regulators are under increasing threat of losing staff to banks because the job market in sought-after functions such as cyber security is competitive. Banks tend to pay more than regulators across most roles. A 2017 survey by recruiters Barclay Simpson found that senior market risk managers at investment banks earn in excess of £400k. In comparison, Daniele Nouy, the ECB’s top regulator, took home just €278k in 2016, according to a Reuters report.

Onyons started his career with the tech giant IBM in 1998 and spent over a decade there in various roles including business recovery specialist, business recovery manager, and service delivery manager for business continuity services. In 2009, he shifted to Phoenix as head of business continuity projects and outsourcing. He joined the FCA when the regulator was set up in 2013.

Image credit:  monsitj, Getty

Jefferies poaches influential activist defense head from Credit Suisse

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The head of Credit Suisse’s high-profile activist defense team has left the firm to join Jefferies in a similar role. Chris Young, a former Credit Suisse MD and head of contested situations, started at Jefferies in New York in August.

Young has spent the last eight years at Credit Suisse, helping build the unit charged with advising companies on contentious M&A transactions, proxy fights and corporate governance issues into one of the more well-known on Wall Street. Young joined Credit Suisse in 2010 after six years as the director of M&A and proxy fight research at Institutional Shareholder Services, which often makes headlines for advising institutional investors on how to vote on board seats and pay practices, among other shareholder issues.

Activist defense has become a bigger source of revenue for investment banks as more public companies face campaigns from the likes of activist investors such as Bill Ackman, Carl Icahn and Daniel Loeb. Hedge funds will often take large stakes in public companies and leverage their influence to chase off CEOs, earn board seats and push for strategic changes – like spinning off or selling parts of a business – in hope of ratcheting up the stock price. Private equity firms and other companies have also been making more unsolicited takeover offers, expanding the need for M&A advisors with experience dealing with hostile bids. Young was said to have worked within Credit Suisse’s M&A group.

Credit Suisse and Goldman Sachs operate two of the more prominent activist defense teams, though each has now lost its high-profile head to smaller firms within the last three years. Former partner William Anderson sent shockwaves across Wall Street in 2015 when he left Goldman Sachs to join boutique investment bank Evercore as the head of their shareholder advisory business.

Young began his career as an options trader but moved into M&A after getting his law degree from the University of Boston, according to LinkedIn.


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Former Moore Capital PM joins UBS in latest sell-side trading coup

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A former macro portfolio manager at Moore Capital and BlueCrest has joined UBS as a senior LATAM rates and FX trader. Sergio Kostek started at UBS in New York in July as an MD.

Kostek represents the latest buy-side veteran to jump ship for a trading role at an investment bank. Goldman Sachs re-hired former macro prop trader Robert Surgent in June after he spent seven years as a portfolio manager working for Tudor Investment Corp. and Field Street Capital. Recruiters tell us that a bit of a theme has begun to emerge as several PMs have trickled over to the sell-side in the U.S. in recent months.

While the number of traders employed by investment banks will likely continue to shrink due to changes in technology, the current trading environment on the sell-side is improving, at least in the U.S. The Trump administration is relaxing rules on short-term trades at big banks and is rumored to be mulling additional cuts to Volcker Rule that could allow sell-side traders to be more aggressive. Hedge funds, meanwhile, have generally underperformed, with more shops closing than opening each year over the last three. While prop trading is likely never coming back, some of the chains may soon be lifted off traders at big banks in the U.S. Additional poaching from the buy-side could be a result.

Like Surgent, this isn’t Kostek’s first role with an investment bank. He was an MD in charge of LATAM trading at Morgan Stanley and Deutsche Bank before the financial crisis. Finra records confirm that Kostek is currently registered with UBS.


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Morning Coffee: The Morgan Stanley intern who was promoted at a crazy speed. Swiss banks’ adventures with replacing employees with algorithms

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As meteoric rises go, they don’t get much faster than this – seven years ago, Jannie Tsuei was an intern at Morgan Stanley. Yesterday, it was announced that she has been promoted to be their Chief Operating Officer for Southeast Asian investment banking. Looking at Jannie’s LinkedIn suggests that the COO title is not the whole story – she still lists herself as a VP – but even so it’s some impressive progress. What can we learn from this rapid rise?

First, you need to be an academic high flyer. Ms Tsuei is a graduate of Harvard and Wharton, who wrote for the prestigious university newspaper “The Crimson” as an undergraduate. That’s often a passport into high flying media jobs and is one of the best resume points there is. She also graduated magna cum laude from Harvard and cum laude from the Wharton MBA program, both indicating a position near the top of her year.

Second, some business experience in the real world helps. Rather than taking the undergraduate path into investment banking with successive summer internships on Wall Street, Ms Tsuei got a teaching qualification at the Harvard Graduate School of Education, then spent three years as a business analyst at the Sears Corporation, before going to Wharton to do the MBA with specialisms in Finance and Real Estate. Time spent at one of America’s biggest retailers – and a company which had no shortage of financial and real estate problems to work on – would have been excellent preparation for her first role at MS, on the US real estate advisory team.

Third, don’t be scared to move to where you will be most appreciated. In 2015, Ms Tsuei left New York to join the coverage team in Singapore. That could have been a shrewd move. It’s always good for a young banker to get international experience, and to demonstrate commitment to the job by taking on an expat posting. But for a young female investment banker, Southeast Asia seems to be a remarkably good place to get yourself recognised. In Malaysia, for example, the CEOs of three local investment banks, plus the country heads of Credit Suisse, Rothschild and OCB are all women.

Finally, think about your career in the long term.  Many people would be resistant to a promotion which took them out of the front line of revenue generation and put them into a back office COO role. If your main concern is immediate bonus potential, this is not a bad way to think about things.  But if you have designs on the most senior roles, it can make sense to sacrifice short-term greed for long-term ambition. Moving between front office and operational roles is often the sign of a true high flyer. If someone is being groomed for even more senior posts in the future, then at some point in their life they are going to be in a position where they are responsible for these issues, so they might as well get some experience now.

Not many of us could follow these examples exactly – Ms Tsuei is clearly a bit special. But this doesn’t mean she can’t be emulated. And if she’s not your role model, you can always follow the trajectory that took Jim Ratcliffe from private equity to becoming Britain’s richest man.

Separately, while MS is bringing on the new generation, the Swiss banks are continuing with the project of replacing employees by robots, with varying degrees of success. The data science team at UBS are working on “Netflix-style” algorithms to recommend trades to clients based on positions they have taken in the past.

This could go either very well, or very badly. Giuseppe Nuti, the head of the UBS team responsible for this idea, is correct when he tells the FT that one of the key skills of a salesperson is to know a comment and his or her trading style, and to recommend ideas which suit that particular client. But the key skill here is to present these ideas in a reasonably tactful way. Nobody, least of all a hedge fund trader, wants to be thought of as predictable or set in their ways. If the algorithm is going to come up with things like “hey Steve, you like shorting tech stocks and you don’t like larger than life CEOs so why not short Tesla?” then it is still going to need a trained professional to make things sound convincing.

Credit Suisse’s “Amelia” also needs human beings to work with her for the time being. Amelia is a chat bot, which sometimes serves as the first point of enquiry for CS employees when they try to get the help desk to sort out some of their IT problems. The idea was that Amelia would be able to recognise enough human language to give canned responses to the most common issues like forgotten passwords or full email boxes, leaving more time for the professionals to deal with more complicated things. At present, Amelia can understand around 13% of the questions which come in, which could be good – the programmers reckon she does the work of a dozen professionals – or could be seen as indicating that human beings will be needed in banking technology for a while longer.

Meanwhile…

Morgan Stanley has launched the first employee childcare scheme in Canary Wharf (Goldman Sachs already had one, but not in that part of London). Via a salary sacrifice scheme, employees can sign up to get places which have been bought from Bright Horizons, a private nursery provider. (City AM)

Brexit preparations are now being described as “panic” as fund management houses including Artemis, First State and Newton attempt to get the right to authorisations for their Luxembourg and Dublin offices to be able to continue offering their products on the same basis as they do now. (Financial News)

In Asia at least, the staff cuts at Deutsche Bank are now nearly complete. That’s the message from a interview given by James McMurdo, the regional CEO, in which he says that “our core banking team has stayed together” and that Deutsche is now making more revenue in the region despite lower staff numbers (Bloomberg)

If you’ve been following the Goldman / Chris Rollins legal case, Bloomberg have a background piece on Lars Windhorst, who is widely believed to have been the “notorious European businessman” responsible for the compliance breaches which got Rollins dismissed (Windhorst, through a spokesman, denies this identification and says the case is nothing to do with him). The issues raised about who owns the relationship with a big client will be familiar, although people are usually more likely to be trying to take the credit rather than avoid the blame (Bloomberg)

Paul Greenwald, a former hedge fund millionaire who lost his fortune and who had been sleeping rough, has gone missing from the hospital he was staying in. (New York Post)

Another day, another senior level hire at Goldman Sachs. Healthcare banker Jonathan Piazza, joining from Barclays. Not clear whether he will be joining at the partner level, but given his rank and experience (Managing Director who came to Barclays with the Lehman acquisition) it’s certainly possible. (Business Insider)

London is not just under threat from Frankfurt, Paris and Dublin – Manchester wants to give it some domestic competition in the fintech sector (Finextra)

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Now Rokos is hiring technologists and junior risk analysts from banks too

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It’s not just traders and researchers who can move from banking to hedge funds. Rokos Capital Management, the growing London hedge fund founded by former Brevan Howard trading star Chris Rokos, also has a thing for hiring from banks’ more middle office functions, sometimes at a comparatively junior level.

Rokos’ recent hires include a litany of programmers and quant developers, typically from a banking background. The fund is also hiring a new graduate with an interest in machine learning for its engineering function.

New recruits include Giovanni Merlin, a former analyst in market risk and capital analysis at Goldman Sachs, who joined Rokos this August after just 26 months at GS. Then there’s Zlatko Stoev, who joined in July as a senior software developer after nearly five years at Barclays and a period contracting at Credit Suisse. Or Baris Acar, who also joined in July as a senior quantitative developer after 12 years at Barclays. In June, Rokos hired Mark Hoyle, a former head of quant technology at Fidelity Worldwide Investment. Rokos is also bringing on Adam Taylor, a computer science graduate from the UK’s Durham University who wrote a thesis on the application of machine learning in the retail sector.

Rokos’ enthusiasm for hiring engineers and risk professionals from banks follows the arrival of Dan Azzopardi as chief technology officer from Barclays in December 2017. It also comes after the fund doubled the floor space at its headquarters at 23 Savile Row in January 2018.

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A Deutsche Bank IBD managing director just left entirely of his own accord

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The exits from Deutsche Bank aren’t all taking place under sufferance as CEO Christian Sewing cuts costs. Deutsche insiders say a managing director (MD) in the German bank’s financial institutions group (FIG) team has just quit entirely voluntarily.

Kristian Triggle, an insurance-focused MD on the FIG team is said to have handed in his notice last week. Deutsche Bank declined to comment, but Triggle is no longer listed as a Deutsche Bank employee and colleagues said he has left the bank. Triggle, who joined Deutsche from UBS in 2010, is understood to be off to RBC Capital Markets. RBC did not respond to a request to comment.

Triggle’s exit comes as Deutsche Bank is in the process of cutting 7,000 jobs from across the bank globally.  Sewing has been pruning investment banking teams that are focused predominantly on non-German and non-European clients. Cuts have included the oil and gas team in May, Alasdair Warren (ex-head of EMEA corporate finance) and various members of the healthcare investment banking team in June, and the shipping team in July.

Front office job cuts in the investment bank were theoretically completed in July, suggesting Triggle’s position at Deutsche Bank was safe. However, Virilo Moro, the ex-head of Deutsche Bank’s financing and solutions (FSG) group for Spain and Portugal, was said to have been quietly trimmed last week. 

DB insiders suggest that Triggle was a “solid” member of DB’s FIG team, which is run globally by Tadhg Flood. FIG is one of Deutsche’s stronger teams and as such should be immune to Sewing’s cost -cutting. Indeed, the bank has been strengthening the team: it hired Tom Spreutels as head of FIG corporate banking coverage from Citi and Sandeep Kamat as vice chairman of coverage, including SoftBank. However, both came in May before Sewing’s plan really took effect.

As a single exit, Triggle’s exit may be no big deal. But headhunters say they’re receiving increasingly frequent calls from Deutsche Bankers looking to move. One disaffected MD in the investment bank tells us his department is being ravaged by cost-cutting: “Senior managers have been told one thing – reduce costs,” he says. “Not even reduce costs and increase revenue. – Just, reduce costs. If someone is a revenue producer but is expensive, just fire them and don’t bid them back if they try to leave.”

Another Deutsche insider says well-publicized cost cutting measures like doing away with fruit are immaterial. “The whole fruit thing is ridiculous. In London, no one below senior management has had access to free fruit for YEARS…. they’ll save maybe £50 a month,” he says.

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Bad news for anyone who thinks this is indicative of their 2018 CFA exam result

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Today is the day. Sometime soon, hopefully within the next hour, the tens of thousands of people who overcame various washroom disasters to sit the CFA Level I and II exams in late June will receive their results. Until then, nails are being chewed to the quick.

Astute readers of this site will recall that last year’s CFA exam results day was blighted by all sorts of problems. In particular, there was widespread freaking out after results didn’t turn up at 9am Eastern Time as promised. Instead, some people received their results eight hours later than expected, by which time their nails had all but disappeared.

This year, the hope is that the results will be posted in a more timely fashion.

In the meantime, however, something weird seems to be going on with the CFA Institute’s website. Fraught exam takers who are waiting for their results and posting on Reddit’s CFA forum, say that when they login to the “my enrollment” section of the CFA site they see messages there saying that they either are, or are not, registered for forthcoming CFA exams. In the febrile pre-results atmosphere, the message they see is being taken as an indication of whether they passed or failed the exams in June.

For example, a candidate who sees the message below is deemed by people on the Reddit forum to have passed because they’re no longer enrolled for any exams. Candidates who see messages saying, “You are currently registered for the Level X exam,” are deemed to have failed because they’re still registered and expected to take the exams again.

The bad news for anyone using this method as a proxy for their pass or fail, is that it doesn’t work. The CFA Institute informs us that the messages appearing on the my enrollment page are, “not indicative of a pass/fail.”  Unfortunately, fraught CFA exam takers will have to wait for the actual results email. There is a countdown to the results release here (presuming it happens on time). Good luck.

Not registered CFA

[Update: The CFA results are now out. 45% of candidates passed Level II, down from 47% last year. 43% passed Level I, the same as last year. The CFA Institute is presenting individual results in a whole new way. The most impressive passing score we’ve seen so far is in the chart below.]

CFA exam pass 2018

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